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“We expect new products such as KPI markets, which allow users to trade a single corporate metric, such as production, deliveries, or subscriber growth, rather than the stock price itself,” observe the analysts. “Further, perp futures are expanding from crypto to commodities and single stock perps.”
Some exchange operators already filed plans to introduce KPI-linked event contracts. Those derivatives would be tied to metrics such as corporate earnings or, in more nuanced cases, Apple iPhone shipments or Tesla deliveries — just two examples — in a given quarter.
While sports event contracts remain the headline-grabbers for prediction market operators, there’s evidence that other categories are experiencing growth. As Bernstein points out, cryptocurrency event contracts account for at least 20% of the turnover on the two largest prediction markets.
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On Thursday Genius Sports launched a dedicated prediction market affiliate site designed to aggregate pricing and market information from multiple prediction market operations and overlay it with live sports feeds.
Developed by Legend – Genius Sports’ consumer media and technology unit, acquired last year for $1.2 billion – Prediction.com enables users to compare equivalent event contracts across several platforms. It also follows how market probabilities evolve in real time as sports events unfold.
Integration of Genius Sports’ official in-game data with real-time market pricing will allow users to track play-by-play actions alongside dynamic market probabilities, prices and signals.
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Fire was already in the building. Columns of flame rose during the Wizard’s lion-terrifying chamber scene, and will continue doing so.
Foam fruit has fallen from the rafters since opening night. People take them home and sometimes sell them for $20 a pop on eBay. The upgrade now is that they smell like apples.
Also shown in the video are butterflies that appear to be drones. Though these were not previously teased, butterflies were digitally added to the scene in which Dorothy exits her crashed house into Oz and the film turns from sepia to Technicolor.
